Monday, January 9, 2017

Doug Economic Profile


Etienne Oliver's Economic Profile of Doug

 

Doug, who is 59 and in his first year of retirement was kind enough to allow me to interview him. He grew up here in Portland in South West, and though he has moved around Oregon and the country a little for his education, has spent most of his working years in Portland. He labels his childhood as good, but considers himself to be happier than his parents. His parents divorced and his mom, who was in a single parent situation with five kids, spent everything on her children and rarely focused on her own economic needs. Doug also mentioned that since he was the youngest of 5 children, that he was protected by his siblings and mother the most from his father, who often tried to threaten the older kids and their mother with causing them to go bankrupt or stealing their salary. Because of this friction, he thinks he is both happier and more economically successful than his parents.

Doug went to the University of Oregon in Eugene, the University of Wyoming and UCLA Berkley during the first part of his adult life. At the beginning of figuring out his career, he went to school to become a Youth Pastor, but changed to education in animal behavior. Doug finally settled and attending the Police Academy in Portland to then serve on the Portland Police Force for 27 years. He has also been married 3 times and lived in 3 different places here in Portland during each marriage. He is currently living in Wilsonville and rents his apartment with his wife.

Doug credits a lot of his economic well-being on having a government job. Working for the government allowed him to retire with what he says to be a very livable wage of $54,000 annually. This is considered the median income for almost all states and he is debt free, though he did qualify for the FAFSA for his son who just finished his first semester at University of Oregon. Doug would classify himself as mid-middle class, or possibly between the mid-middle class and the lower-middle class, but does not consider himself the lower-middle class.

Retirement was an easy transition for Doug to make, mostly because of the benefits from his government job, such as healthcare.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/S121000A144NBEA
Doug was joined the police force around 1989, which, in the graph above, you can see when the benefits supplied from a government job really started to increase.

He has been conservative with his financials, relying on his government job and retirement benefits, and says he has only made one serious financial mistake. When he first was hired by the Portland Police, he was hired during a hiring freeze, and although he had a temporary government job in a mailing room, decided to make a rash decision. He took out 18 years’ worth of retirement saving and bought a Porsche. If he had not done that, he thinks he would have a retirement income of 84,000 instead of the 54,000 he has now. His economic dreams are to stay debt free and maintain is social/economic class, but fears from a catastrophe like a house fire or cancer that his retirement funds will not cover. Despite this, he has saved well for retirement and is comfortably living and working on a bucket list at the moment, that includes road trips and following the PGA and NASCAR across the country.

His economic advice to young people is to be fiscally sound, start retirement savings early, to stay debt free, and while you are searching for a job, to try and find one that will help you retire. He also thinks that a house is not a good investment and no longer fits the live style that many working people, especially young working people, have.

One of the things that impacted me the most from the interview is when he said “Don’t buy anything that depreciates when you take possession of it”, which happened when he bought that Porsche. I think this advice really sums up his economic history and views; he would rather play it safe and rely on the government and economic systems put into place to ensure his economic wellbeing. I think his economic view really connects with his social views. He mentioned that part of the reason why the police force and having a government job really worked out for him was because he was hired during a transition and when the government still cared and took care of its’ citizens. 

http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2012/08/
portland_is_where_young_people_go_to_retire_economic_renaissance_in_portland.html
In the graph above, you can see the increase of local law enforcement employees started to really increase around the time he was hired.

Even though he has some financial fears, it is mostly fear of the collapse of the system put in place by the government, that has changed in his view. Doug said that even if the system did collapse and he was hurting, it would be no worse than anyone else, because the government and system would have failed us all. I think this view speaks a lot to his conservative upbringing and the culture of his generation. Overall, it was an interesting interview to have and to see Doug's economic experience and how it was affected by his work and now how he is handling the finances of being retired. 

Emily's Economic Inequality Blog Post: Jana

Emily Slusher
Ralph Drayton
Economics
23 December 2016
Economic Inequality Blog Post
Jana, a very close friend to me and my family has been working for us since my parents married and moved to Portland full time.  She graduated from high school and didn’t continue her education any further.  She and her husband married early and had children at a young age.  Regarding to houses, she has always bought.  She has lived in the same house since her children were born.  For work she has done the same since she started.  She started working when she was in high school, and her first job was working with an elderly women and taking care of her and here house.  She has done this same kind of work for her whole life.  This work gave her more flexibility.  Her husband works and she needed time to take care of her four children.  She does consider her salary a livable wage, but only with her husband’s work too.  Since she has four kids, her salary alone could not support her family.  If she was on her own it would be enough.  Her husband is from Mexico and became a United States citizen which opened many new doors for her whole family.  
As mentioned before, her only job experience has been with household care.  Even though she has only been through this kind of work, she started working at a fairly young age.  There is still inequality in her situation compared to many other U.S. citizens.  She has a modest income and considers herself to be in the middle class.  One factor to look at that may have caused some inequality is her level of education.  She has only been through high school.  If she would have gone through college, it can be assumed that there would have been many more doors open to her.  She also could have found new passions or interests to pursue which might have led her to living a different life.  Another factor to consider is a more personal one.  She had children at young age.  From that young age, her main focus was on here kids and not other things which could have reduced the inequality.  The main reason she took jobs like these were because of her kids.  Her main focus for her entire life has been for her kids.  Since this was the main focus in her life,  she didn’t have time to pursue her own interests and continue to learn new things, which could have created more opportunities for her.  
Assessing the causes and effects of her human capital can also explain Jana’s economic profile.  Her human capital is not as high as it could have been.  Her work skills are at a standard generic level.  Her skills could have been increased if she continued her education.  Just graduating from college can increase your human capital.  She does not regret having her children that early, but does agree that if she didn’t have children at that age she would have many more opportunities than she has now.  She possesses quite ordinary skills, but those skills did give her the opportunity to provide for her family economically and being able to take care of them.  Fortunately, her skills have been needed for us for a long time.  Another positive about her skills are that they are pretty versatile.  She can not only clean houses, but she can also take care of households and people from her first job.  
One graph to look at is the median household income in the United States.  Since about 2014, the median household income has been on an upward trajectory.  Even though Jana has a lower human capital and she works for a private entity, the rising median household income has helped her and her family.  Every few years, her rates increased, so she is at a very low risk.  Since her husband works too, his income has increased too, according to this graph.  With the rising household income, she can better provide for her family and make up for her lower human capital.              
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
Another graph to look at is interest rates for the U.S.  Since about January 2009, interest rates have been very low compared to how high they were.  Since July 2007, the interest rates have been lowering from 6.25% to about .75%.  With these significantly lowered interest rates, her and her family have better access to borrowing money.  She has a pretty big family and two of her grandchildren have autism.  With this access to borrowing she can better help provide for her and her children’s families.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/INTDSRUSM193N

One large question answered in this interview was if money equals happiness.  I learned from Jana that money does not necessarily equal happiness.  She first described her life being much better than her parent’s.  Her health has has a much better quality than her parent’s because her dad smoked.  She has more opportunity for herself, her husband, and her children.  Although she and her family have many more opportunities than her parents, she did state that her parents were very happy with their lives.  Life was much simpler and her family was more content.  There was no stress in her younger life and with more opportunities now, she feels that there is more competition along with stress.  What was interesting about this statement was that happiness is not only obtainable with money.            

An Economic Profile: Starbuck



An Economic Profile: Starbuck, The Simpler Things  


             When first meeting Buck, it can be intimidating. He is a large man with a big beard, circular framed glasses, and seems to always be wearing his baseball hat. Though, once your conversation with him begins, only words associated with kindness and charisma can be tacked to this 52-year-old. Buck has lived his whole life in Portland. He attended Fives Oaks Junior High, Aloha High, and PCC. After receiving his degree he tried out a number of jobs, but in the mid nineties found a job as a generator mechanic, which seemed to fit him perfectly.

In 1996, the company Buck was working for was bought by the company he has been working for since then. This job allows him to specialize, but not too specifically as he is able to do everything from maintenance on trucks to carpentry work. Annually, Buck makes between $75,000 and $80,000. His wage fluctuates as there is a possibility of getting quarterly bonuses when productivity in the shop is increased. When asked if he believes this is livable, he answered, “I have been able to live within this amount.” He mentioned that he owns a house and cars and has a retirement savings account. He also recognizes that he is much better off than his parents ever were, allowing for him and his wife to raise their son who is now grown and married.

Though Buck is successful and holds a steady job, now, in the early nineties he tried a “get rich quick scheme.” Within three months of moving to North Carolina to work for a big meat packing company, the plant was closed. He quickly was able to get out of his recent house deal, but lost everything else including the retirement savings he began to set aside at the beginning of his adult life. Though he found himself in $20,000 worth of credit card debt he was able to pay it off fairly quickly and buy another home and begin to start saving again.

Saving was an idea that Buck continued to come back to. In lots of labor jobs, it is easier said than done to save. If you’re saving a specific percentage each month that is an absolute amount of money that won’t be available to you or your family, so being paid a low wage makes it extremely difficult to effectively save and plan for the future. Buck, who has been saving since the beginning of his adult life, leaves that as his advice for young people, “save, save, save.” He added, “Just start saving, the sooner the better, it makes all of life’s little challenges easier to cope with.” As he recalls his setback in 1992. It is because of his continued savings beforehand that he was able to comeback quickly and get back on his feet.

Many of Buck’s colleagues work in union jobs. This lays down all different types of rules in the yard from who can and cannot drive a forklift at a certain time to what time a break is allowed to be taken at. The Union is something I specifically find very interesting about labor jobs because of the fact that the company can have management and set guidelines for employees, but there is still the union which makes it so when an employee is not happy or feel their rights are being violated they have an agency that will stand up for them.

Looking into the future, Buck feels ready and says he is on track to retire at age 65. Or at least he hopes he is. Buck’s economics dreams include, common and human-like hopes, “A retirement full of travel and good food without financial worries.” In my conversation with him, I found it very interesting to hear the lack of doubt he had, along with the lack of economic reasoning. I think this is an example of where economics truly comes down to being based off of choices made by people who have a goal or incentive. Looking at this graph tracking mean income since 1990, Buck is not far off. He has reason to feel secure.


Finally, Buck does not have much interaction with the government. He doesn’t feel they have helped or hurt him, but when talking about increased minimum wage a fear of increased price of goods did rise. He often mentions the high price of a Starbucks coffee and used the example of a big mac to explain rising minimum wage to me, but finished by saying it is understandable as some of the guys he works with are close to the minimum wage, though no one is compensated at that small amount. Buck’s interaction with the government goes as follows, “I pay my taxes, those go to the government, and I got some free cheese in the eighties, but other than voting I don’t have much interaction with the government.”

As a labor worker, Buck is lucky. We discussed and I have discussed with a couple of the other men in the shop that the scrap metal company they work for now is the best job they have had throughout their wholes lives. Lots of the men never finished high school and joined the union the day they turned eighteen– a very different reality than we are all faced with at Catlin. Buck’s income for this same reason did surprise me. If you break it down, he makes close to $40 an hour. No one in the yard is paid minimum wage and that ends up really benefiting the company. It is not uncommon for someone to be there for 30 or 40 years. There’s one man who began working when he was 16. He now is married and has two teenage kids, and he still is working the same job.

 I see this as bittersweet. The company is obviously doing something right if they are able to keep loyal employees for so long, but the fact that there is no change or moving up for an individual makes me wonder, is this just how working in a factory setting goes? The fact that employees are staying a long time, I believe, shows incentives working. Wages can increase, and continually being paid above minimum wage in a steady job is always nice. This works to both benefit the employee and the company. It is a burden for a company to hire new employees as there is training and at this specific company, as they work with the union, a watch period where the employee has different rights. As one person in management said, “we pay higher wages, expecting higher quality work. You give the best, you get the best.” Finally, maybe a reason that these men stay working for so long, and why many people shown in the graph below don’t stay at jobs, plays off of the security and stability that they felt during the 2008 recession. While many of their friends and families were out of jobs, they stayed stable. Buck applauded the company for this as he said, “it’s money you can raise a family off of.”


Jessica: Economic Profile and Analysis

Jessica: Economic Profile and Analysis




Economic Profile:
Jessica dreams of “owning an island, a hot air balloon, a vineyard, and a boat.” On the other hand, Jessica fears of “being homeless and dying for lack of healthcare.” Here is her economic story.
Jessica, an unmarried, forty-year-old female, currently works full-time as a tutor as a part of the organization called Tutor Doctor. She received a BA and a MA in English from the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, and she previously worked as an adjunct English professor at schools such as Clark College, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, College of New Rochelle, South University, teaching for a total of ten years. She received a scholarship for all of her higher education, and therefore she left school with no debt. She has lived in many places including Las Vegas, Nevada, Ojai, California, Vancouver, Washington, Brooklyn, New York, Kilkenny and Tra Mhor, Ireland, and San Diego, California, and in each location, and she has rented but never owned a home.
Jessica places herself in the lower socioeconomic class. As a tutor, she makes $35 dollars an hour for all her tutoring appointments, but she doesn’t believe this to be a livable wage. Additionally, the number of client meetings she has and the number of hours she works with those clients vary each week, so she couldn’t pinpoint a yearly salary. Her tutoring schedule is dependent upon when her students are not at school, leaving mostly after-school hours and weekends hours for her to work. Despite the unpredictability of this profession, she prefers tutoring to traditional teaching because she believes her strength is one-on-one teaching. As a college professor, she lamented that there wasn’t enough time to help every student due to the large size of college classes. Additionally, she disliked being a professor because, as she mentioned, “I was only paid for hours in the classroom, but grading papers, which I did outside of the classroom, was ninety-percent of my work.” As a tutor, she assists her students in English as well as economics and history.
Despite leaving school with no debt, Jessica believes that she is worse off than her parents because her “job provides no benefits and no insurance” and she has “no retirement account.” However, she is very passionate about tutoring English, and she stated that she “could be worse off financially but still be just as happy, if not happier” than she is right now in her current job. Jessica suggested that it was her choice of major that affected her economic well-being today. As noted earlier, she chose to major in English for both undergraduate and graduate school, a major that didn’t provide her with a pathway to high-paying work.
In terms of government intervention in Jessica’s economic history, she noted both ups and downs. She is a big fan of Obamacare. She noted that without this government program, she wouldn’t have had access to healthcare. With this program, she can afford quality care and stay healthy. She fears that with the upcoming presidency her situation might change and she’ll lose this medical coverage. Additionally, the 2008 financial crisis destroyed the 401(k) she had been saving and the following job crunch limited opportunity for new positions. She also noted that she is not saving for retirement right now, but she plans to start again soon and rebuild her 401(k) account.
Although she is passionate about English and literature, she advises that young people not major in English because of the long-term economic consequences. She also has a few economic suggestions for young people given her life experiences: save 25% of what you make every check, cut out expensive habits, and make sure to network.

Economic Analysis:
From our six economic principles, the two that are most applicable to Jessica’s life are that “all choices have consequences that lie in the future and reshape what is possible” and that “all choices have costs.”
In analyzing Jessica’s life and her economic choices, her most defining decision, as she noted herself, was that of her choice of major: English. However, Jessica’s situation is rather unique. She attended college cost-free; she left school without debt. Initially, this seems as if it would have given her a leg up later on in life in terms of her financial well-being, but her choice of major has led to what she believes to be an unstable economic situation at age forty.
Without the burden of student loans, she had more freedom when choosing her area of study. She didn’t have to sacrifice her passion for English because of her financial situation and  go into a stem or tech major. Even without the college debt and even with her BA and MA in English, however, the job opportunities and salaries for English majors were and continue to be quite inferior to those of graduates in the hard sciences. She graduated from college in 1994. According to the National Association of Colleges and Employers, college graduates from all fields in 1994 earned an average starting salary of approximately $46,000, whereas English majors specifically earned approximately $34,000 (these values are adjusted for inflation).


Despite the economic sacrifice, she decided to pursue her passion. Of course, these charts don’t take into account the fact that Jessica went on to get a graduate degree, which raised her salary potential. She received her graduate degree in the late 90’s, but here are some current projections (also from the National Association of Colleges and Employers) for people with graduate degrees in the humanities (which includes English) in comparison to other disciplines. There’s still a huge difference in starting salaries today.
Another one of Jessica’s choices that has significantly shaped her current financial situation was her decision to become a tutor instead of continuing as an adjunct professor. The hourly pay for her tutoring sessions is $35 dollars an hour (which, for a point of reference, is well above Oregon’s minimum wage at $9.75 dollars an hour), but her tutoring schedule is much more unpredictable than a traditional minimum wage job. She doesn’t work a standard 9-to-5, five day work week. She works when clients schedule appointments. This means that her yearly income is unpredictable even though she has a list of regular clients.
After doing a bit of research into university salaries and Tutor Doctor, the company that she currently works for, I found that she actually earns more as a tutor. With this decision she prioritized doing what she loved (she prefers one-on-one teaching over being a professor), which ended up being the more fiscally responsible route.
As an adjunct English professor at the University of Nevada, Los Angeles (a position she has held) the average salary is approximately $1,500 per month, so around $18,000 a year for income, as listed on Glassdoor (a website that provides economic information about companies and their employees). In contrast, she earns $35/hour as a tutor, and the the median salary for a tutor who works at that rate in Portland, OR is $30,000 a year, according to Glassdoor (but I don’t know if this is actually her yearly salary, it’s just an estimate from this site). However, a downside to both lines of work is that neither job provides health or retirement benefits.
I learned, from reading reviews of Tutor Doctor, from its workers, that there are some more downsides to tutoring this way: there’s no compensation for gas used to travel to a client’s house, travel time, or work done outside of official tutoring sessions. Still, Jessica greatly prefers tutoring to traditional teaching, and she earns a lot more.
After reading an Atlantic article from 2015 about income inequality in higher education, I think it is definitely for the best that Jessica left traditional teaching. In this article entitled “The College President-to-Adjunct Pay Ratio” I learned about the extreme inequality that occurs on public university campuses: adjunct professors make around $20,000 whereas college presidents make hundreds of thousands of dollars and sometimes millions of dollars. Of course, these adjunct professors are often only part-time employees, but that shouldn’t mean that they are devalued to an unlivable wage: “a quarter of all part-time college faculty receive public assistance, such as Medicaid or food stamps...many adjuncts earn less than the federal minimum wage. Unless they work 30 hours or more at a single college, they’re not eligible for health insurance from that employer, and similar to other part-time employees, they do not qualify for other benefits. The temporary status and low income of adjunct professors can make it difficult for them to provide quality instruction and support to their students.” Our society doesn’t seem to value public education and it doesn’t value its teachers. Professors and adjunct professors aren’t receiving wages that seem appropriate for the amount of work that they do. If we are to encourage quality education, our society needs to invest in these quality educators and make teaching worthwhile. Jessica was never paid for the paper grading and other work she did for her students outside of class. http://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/2015/09/income-inequality-in-higher-education-the-college-president-to-adjunct-pay-ratio/407029/
Even though tutoring turned out to be the better financial decision, Jessica still considers herself to be in the lower-class. She is concerned about her financial future, especially her retirement savings. Apparently, her retirement account was destroyed after the 2008 financial crisis. She plans to start saving and investing her money again soon, but considering that she is already forty, her late start may push back her retirement date. Jessica has been tutoring for about four years, which means that after paying for living expenses, the basic necessities, and travel expenses to meet with her clients, there may not be a lot of money left to save, and she may not be able to meet the target amount of savings that’s suggested on the graph (left) below.
The CPI, the Consumer Price Index (at right), which includes consumer expenditures on transportation costs, like gasoline, food and beverage costs, and renter households, all of which affect Jessica’s daily life. As seen by the CPI graph, the cost of living is rising. Jessica is concerned that if her income doesn’t increase (by tutoring existing clients more or taking in new clients) to keep up with this rise, it may be harder for her to rent and work in Portland.
Jessica has never owned a home, and so she has never had to take out a mortgage. She has never had to borrow money and later pay off some massive debt. She has only ever rented homes, and I don’t believe she plans on becoming a homeowner, at least not soon, so it would seem that the federal funds rate doesn’t really affect her. However, increases in the federal funds rate can indirectly affect her. According to the NYT article linked below, “higher rates mean that landlords must pay more to purchase and renovate their properties, so in the long run, those are costs they could easily pass on to renters.” Looking at the chart below, it looks like the interest rates are climbing, which could pose a problem for Jessica in the future. If interest rates go up, the rental cost for her home increases.



Conclusion:
I was very surprised at the low pay of adjunct professors. Before my research, I figured that Jessica’s position as a professor probably paid more than her job as a tutor, but I was wrong. The economic equality that exists in public higher education is very interesting. I think it’s just a given nowadays that educators are paid very little, but it doesn’t make sense because teachers are so important to society. What can the government do to address the wealth gap in this scenario? Could the government require public institutions of higher education to give retirement and health benefits to all employees no matter whether or not they’re full or part time? I don’t really know what kind of reach the government has in these decisions, but it would be interesting to find out.
I also think that it’s very admirable that Jessica decided to follow her passion for English and literature, despite the fact that she was aware of the financial consequences. Her advice to other young people is not major in English, but she doesn’t regret her choice. She loves getting to work with students.
Now that we have learned so much about personal finance and how we should start investing early, I am concerned about her retirement savings and whether or not she’ll be able to save enough to get to a comfortable financial place at a reasonable age. However, I might be off on her yearly salary prediction of $30,000, so maybe there is less need to worry. Her salary could actually be up to $50,000 a year .